The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the score would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning just 50 percent of their games against the program played by the group in question in the games
it has played so far. The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the competition and the location of the match. This
is the identical concept which is used in computing the WIN50% conference evaluations.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an extra 4 points for the home
team. Thus, by way of instance, a HOME team having a rating of 92 would be
favored by 6 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 90.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 would be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team having a score of 78.
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be to get a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the program played with the group in question at the matches it has played so far. The schedule difficulty of every given game takes
into account the score of the competition and the location of this match. This
is the identical concept which is used in computing the WIN50% summit evaluations.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and permit an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team. Thus, by way of example, a HOME team with a rating of 27 would be
favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 25.
Or a VISITING team having a rating of 24 will be favored by 7 points
over a house team with a rating of 14.
NOTE.
In the example just above, a home edge of 4 has been shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the entire year.
A number of different home edges are revealed, one for each of those several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The figures to the right of a team’s schedule strength are its rank of
schedule – (in parentheses) – and its record versus teams in these
rating’s CURRENT top 25 and CURRENT top 50 respectively.
Teams that look tied to 2 decimal places in a given column are in reality different when carried to more decimal places in the computer’s internal arithmetic.
Read more: odfreport.com
